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Bull spreads in BA and Bear spreads in VZ

July 22, 2022

The ECB meeting yesterday delivered a greater than anticipated rate hike with the European Central Bank raising rates by 0.5% against expectations of 0.25%. As with the FED, the guidance that was given at the prior meeting was quickly forgotten the Council had to deal with a Euro flirting with parity, increased inflationary pressures over the past few weeks and the prospect of an energy crunch for the final months of the year.

Yesterday was also the day of earnings for SNAP. The stock has now lost 80% of its value since the 2021 highs and in the overnight session, SNAP is trading around $16.35, down around 28.7%.

ivolatility spot price chart

Our losers vs winners basket (see yesterday’s market update for more details) continued to perform well yesterday with year to date winners losing 0.6% on the day on average while year to date losers gained 0.95% on average over the session.

Ivolatility spot price chart

Over the session, the best performing sector was the consumer discretionary space gaining 2.3% on the day. Healthcare stocks also rebounded by 1.6%. On the downside, the Energy space struggled and lost 2%, roughly in line with the move in Crude Oil.

Within the DJIA components, VZ remained weak yesterday losing around 2.9%. The name was one of the more resilient one in the first half of the year but has seen some weakness of late. It is now 9% lower than where it settled at the end of 2021.

Ivolatility spot price chart

Implied volatility in the name has moved higher recently and has now reached elevated levels from an historical perspective (over the past 5 years).

Ivolatility spot price chart

For traders looking at hedging structures in the name for instance bear vertical spreads, using the RT Spread Scanner is a great way to get an idea of the most attractive possibilities offered.

Ivolatility spot price chart

The most attractive combination from a risk to reward perspective is offered by the 43/40 bear vertical spread expiring on the 26th Aug’22. The structure only costs $19 for a potential 2 standard deviation gain of $235.

The company is expected to report before market opens today so it will be interesting to see how price and volatility react to this set of numbers.

Looking at BA, it had another good day yesterday gaining almost 2%. The stock sold off very aggressively in the first half but seems to have generated some renewed interest recently. Around the June expiration, BA had lost around 42.4% on the year but it is now only down 22.35% on the year.

Ivolatility spot price chart

Volatility in the name has dropped from its recent highs but remains fairly elevated compared to the last year.

Ivolatility spot price chart

Looking once again at the RT Spread Scanner for bull vertical spreads, we find the following structures, sorted by attractiveness on a Risk/Reward measure.

Ivolatility spot price chart

The most attractive structure displayed is the 175/205 bull vertical spread costing $337 for a potential profit of $2.66k.

If you need help setting up some scans with the RT Spread Scanner, do not hesitate to reach out to our support@ivolatility.com

Disclaimer - This information is provided for general information and marketing purposes only. The content of the presentation does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. IVolatility.com and its partners do not guarantee that this information is error free. The data shown in this presentation are not necessarily real time data. IVolatility.com and its partners will not be liable for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use or reliance on the information. When trading, you should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. You should not make decisions that are only based on the information provided in this video. Please be aware that information and research based on historical data or performance do not guarantee future performance or results. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and any person acting on this information does so entirely at their own risk.
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