Minutes out and a strong rally in TSLA

November 24, 2022

The highly anticipated FED minutes report confirmed what most in the market had been expecting: FED members are looking to slow the pace of increases in order to assess the impact on the economy.

The report was enough to send equity prices back towards their highest levels of the day following a mid-day selloff.

Ivolatility spot price chart

The overall range was pretty limited with the NDX trading around 120 points from high to low.

The NDX gained slightly less than 1%, the SPX was 0.6% higher by the bell and the DJIA finished 0.3% higher.

Technically, there is still a lot of attention around the top-end of the recent downtrend in the NDX as shown on the below chart from tradingview.com.

Ivolatility spot price chart

The market seems to have broken out but it will be interesting to watch whether this will be sustained following the Thanksgiving holiday season.

From a volatility perspective, implied volatilities were slightly lower across the curve with 30d IVX on the NDX losing around 1 point on the day.

Ivolatility spot price chart

Looking at the sectors’ level, we find that the energy segment was trailing the pack as Oil lost around 4% today on talks of a Russian oil cap and a strong build-up in gasoline inventories in the US as reported by Reuters.

The energy sector is unchanged over the past week but still up almost 6% over the past month and the YTD performance is around +61%.

Ivolatility spot price chart

From a volatility perspective, the XLE term structure shown below shows that the market continues to anticipate a relatively elevated volatility for medium to long term maturities with 90 days IVX around 34%.

Ivolatility spot price chart

On the upside, the best performing sector was the consumer discretionary segment which gained almost 1.5% over the day.

Ivolatility spot price chart

Do note that over the past week and month, the sector is essentially unchanged.

Looking at single stocks, the main story was probably found in TSLA which gained almost 8% over the session. The stock has been under significant pressure since the $400 highs seen at the end of 2021.

Ivolatility spot price chart

CNBC attributed the move higher to an upgrade by an investment bank (Citi) and talks from Elon Musk that the opening of a new factory in South Korea was on the cards.

Over the past 12 months, TSLA is still trading around 54% lower than where it finished 2021. Options volumes in the name have been increasing of late as shown on the below chart.

Ivolatility spot price chart

All in all, the market was pretty steady as traders prepared for the final stretch of 2022 post the Thanksgiving holiday season.

Disclaimer - This information is provided for general information and marketing purposes only. The content of the presentation does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. IVolatility.com and its partners do not guarantee that this information is error free. The data shown in this presentation are not necessarily real time data. IVolatility.com and its partners will not be liable for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use or reliance on the information. When trading, you should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. You should not make decisions that are only based on the information provided in this video. Please be aware that information and research based on historical data or performance do not guarantee future performance or results. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and any person acting on this information does so entirely at their own risk.